AI is poised to significantly transform India's economy, with projections suggesting it could add $550 billion to $957 billion to the GDP by 2035 by enhancing productivity across agriculture, healthcare, and finance. While boosting efficiency and creating 40 million jobs by 2030, it poses risks to low-skill jobs, requiring massive workforce reskilling.
AI is poised to significantly transform India's economy, with projections suggesting it could add $550 billion to $957 billion to the GDP by 2035 by enhancing productivity across agriculture, healthcare, and finance. While boosting efficiency and creating 40 million jobs by 2030, it poses risks to low-skill jobs, requiring massive workforce reskilling.
Journal of Management Research and Analysis +2
Impact on the Indian Economy
GDP Growth: -
AI is expected to boost India's GDP significantly by 2035, with forecasts ranging from $550 billion to $957 billion.
Key Sectors: -
AI adoption is highest in banking, financial services, insurance, healthcare, and retail. Agriculture benefits from predictive analytics for crop yields, while (manufacturing) uses AI for automation.
Startups & Tech: -
India has over 1,800 AI-focused startups, with 89% of new startups utilizing AI, and the market is expected to reach $17 billion by 2027.
Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI): -
AI is integrating into India's DPI, improving e-governance and service delivery.
Employment: -
While AI is expected to create 1.25 million to 40 million jobs by 2030, it also threatens to displace workers, particularly in entry-level, low-skill positions.
Impact on India's Stability
Social & Economic Divides: -
If managed well, AI can bridge gaps through improved access to education and healthcare, potentially strengthening social stability. However, unequal access could widen the digital divide.
Job Market Disruption: -
The rapid shift, described as a "tsunami" hitting the labor market, risks creating significant unemployment among those unable to reskill, potentially leading to social unrest.
Governance & Security:-
AI applications in e-Courts improve efficiency, but reliance on AI poses risks regarding data privacy and cybersecurity.
Workforce Preparedness: -
The high demand for AI skills requires urgent, massive upskilling to ensure the population benefits from, rather than is harmed by, the technology. IndiaAI +4
Key Initiatives
National Strategy on Artificial Intelligence: -
The government aims to raise AI spending to 1% of GDP by 2030.
YUVAi & Education:-
Initiatives like YUVAi and the National Education Policy 2020 are integrating AI into education to prepare the future workforce.
AI Stack for Public Services: -
Utilizing AI for localized needs, such as agriculture diagnostics and disaster management (e.g., Mausam GPT). Journal of Management Research and Analysis +1
India AI Stack:
Powering Intelligence at Scale - PIB
AI Adoption in India through High-Impact Applications Indian startups are developing AI applications tailored to local languages, contexts, and sector-specific.
AI can help India achieve Viksit Bharat goal, but poses high risk to jobs.
We actually see the impact of AI on the labour market like a tsunami hitting it. Globally, 40% of jobs will be affected by AI, some enhanced, others eliminated.
MJF Lion ER YK Sharma
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