China’s CO2 emissions have remained flat or declined for 21 consecutive months as of early 2026, driven by record-breaking, rapid expansion of solar and wind capacity, which rose over 430 GW in 2025. China has committed to peaking emissions before 2030, cutting carbon intensity by 65% by 2030, and recently announced a 7–10% reduction in greenhouse gases by 2035.

China’s CO2 emissions have remained flat or declined for 21 consecutive months as of early 2026, driven by record-breaking, rapid expansion of solar and wind capacity, which rose over 430 GW in 2025.  
    China has committed to peaking emissions before 2030, cutting carbon intensity by 65% by 2030, and recently announced a 7–10% reduction in greenhouse gases by 2035. 

Key Trends and Actions (2025–2026)

Emissions Peak Likely: -
The massive deployment of renewables, particularly in 2024 and 2025, has helped stabilize power-sector emissions despite rising demand.
Green Energy Growth: -
In 2025, China installed a record 430+ million kilowatts of solar and wind capacity, roughly four times the UK's total capacity.
New Climate Targets:-
 In September 2025, China announced a, goal to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 7-10% by 2035.
Sectoral Shifts: -
Transportation fuel demand has plateaued since 2024 due to the high adoption of electric vehicles. Conversely, some industrial sectors like chemical production have seen increased emissions.
Challenges: -
While progress is significant, continued reliance on coal and the need for faster, consistent emission reductions are necessary to meet the ambitious 2030 and 2060 net-neutrality goals. 
  China’s efforts are part of a, "dual-carbon" strategy, aiming for peak emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060, notes this report. 
Rapid Growth: -
By early 2025, wind and solar combined generated over a quarter (26%) of China's electricity, hitting a record. In 2025, China installed 315GW of solar and 119GW of wind, exceeding the rest of the world combined.
Solar Dominance: -
China is the first country to surpass 1,000 GW of installed solar capacity.
Grid Integration: -
China is investing heavily in grid infrastructure and market mechanisms (like trading) to manage the intermittency of renewables.
Leading in Green Hydrogen:-
 China accounts for 50% of global green hydrogen production capacity.
Future Target: -
Renewable energy is projected to account for 75%–80% of China's electricity generation by 2050. 
     Despite this, fossil fuels, specifically coal, still constitute a large portion of energy consumption, with China balancing rapid green energy expansion with energy security needs. 

MJF Lion ER YK Sharma 

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